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Red75
764515.1
977716.0
67029.1
Blue50
647913.5
247815.2
808711.6
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6037020801007550

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
670
#1
29.11.5
25.026.5
Auto6.4
Teleop22.2
End0.5
red by 13.8
2478
#16
15.20.9
14.014.9
Auto5.1
Teleop9.1
End1.0
Second
9777
#14
16.01.5
14.215.8
Auto4.6
Teleop9.1
End2.3
red by 2.5
6479
#34
13.51.1
12.413.5
Auto3.0
Teleop9.5
End1.0
Third
7645
#20
15.11.5
12.714.2
Auto5.7
Teleop7.9
End1.6
red by 3.5
8087
#11
11.60.9
10.111.0
Auto4.1
Teleop5.8
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
52%Melody oddsEarned29%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed