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Red43
69226.1
741919.6
418322.3
Blue101
641327.2
884818.5
301914.5
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions526220408010012043101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.30.3
22.822.5
Auto8.7
Teleop13.0
End0.6
blue by 4.9
6413
#10
27.20.7
25.225.9
Auto8.6
Teleop17.6
End1.0
Second
19.60.3
18.718.4
Auto6.1
Teleop12.8
End0.7
red by 1.2
8848
#12
18.50.9
17.218.1
Auto7.3
Teleop8.9
End2.3
Third
6922
#35
6.10.4
6.56.1
Auto3.1
Teleop2.7
End0.3
blue by 8.4
3019
#26
14.50.7
12.813.5
Auto4.5
Teleop8.9
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
77%Melody oddsEarned34%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsEarned