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Red76
49835.1
808711.6
29424.5
Blue64
764515.1
822.5
69814.8
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77532040601001207664

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
498
#2
35.10.3
32.332.6
Auto6.9
Teleop27.5
End0.7
red by 12.6
8
#15
22.50.6
22.122.7
Auto6.6
Teleop14.7
End1.2
Second
294
#8
24.50.3
23.223.5
Auto7.7
Teleop14.0
End2.8
red by 9.3
7645
#20
15.10.6
14.214.8
Auto5.7
Teleop7.9
End1.6
Third
8087
#11
11.60.3
11.011.3
Auto4.1
Teleop5.8
End1.6
blue by 3.2
698
#31
14.80.6
14.214.8
Auto5.5
Teleop7.0
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
80%Melody oddsEarned45%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed