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Red69
29424.5
301914.5
502623.5
Blue58
242919.6
116520.0
247815.2
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67582040801001206958

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
294
#8
24.50.2
23.523.7
Auto7.7
Teleop14.0
End2.8
red by 4.4
1165
#13
20.00.1
19.719.8
Auto6.1
Teleop12.6
End1.3
Second
23.50.2
22.622.8
Auto10.8
Teleop11.9
End0.8
red by 3.9
19.60.1
19.219.3
Auto6.9
Teleop12.3
End0.4
Third
3019
#26
14.50.2
13.513.7
Auto4.5
Teleop8.9
End1.1
blue by 0.8
2478
#16
15.20.1
14.915.0
Auto5.1
Teleop9.1
End1.0