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Red47
544917.9
764515.1
884818.5
Blue85
41469.6
741919.6
641327.2
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5858405070804785

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8848
#12
18.50.1
18.618.5
Auto7.3
Teleop8.9
End2.3
blue by 8.7
6413
#10
27.20.7
26.226.9
Auto8.6
Teleop17.6
End1.0
Second
5449
#18
17.90.1
18.017.9
Auto7.5
Teleop8.4
End1.9
blue by 1.8
19.60.7
18.719.4
Auto6.1
Teleop12.8
End0.7
Third
7645
#20
15.10.1
15.215.1
Auto5.7
Teleop7.9
End1.6
red by 5.5
4146
#30
9.60.7
8.79.4
Auto2.4
Teleop6.6
End0.6