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Red17
237513.6
385316.1
Blue40
775512.5
49825.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions455801001502001740

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.11.7
20.418.7
Auto6.2
Teleop8.7
End1.2
blue by 9.0
498
#6
25.11.1
32.231.1
Auto6.3
Teleop18.6
End0.2
Second
13.61.7
12.110.4
Auto8.2
Teleop5.0
End0.4
red by 1.0
7755
#11
12.51.1
12.711.6
Auto5.7
Teleop4.9
End1.9
Third
9.33.8
3.47.2
Auto6.4
Teleop2.1
End0.7
red by 4.9
4.44.1
0.44.5
Auto2.9
Teleop0.9
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsMissed29%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed