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Red14
99989.1
999912.8
99977.2
Blue50
641329.2
77038.1
33%Model gave it67%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions275204060801001201401601450

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9999
#15DQ
12.83.0
13.710.7
Auto8.8
Teleop2.6
End1.3
blue by 16.5
29.20.4
25.425.8
Auto8.7
Teleop19.8
End0.8
Second
9998
#18DQ
9.13.0
13.710.7
Auto8.0
Teleop0.1
End1.0
red by 1.0
7703
#10
8.10.4
8.89.2
Auto3.8
Teleop3.5
End0.7
Third
9997
#17DQ
7.23.0
13.710.7
Auto6.4
Teleop0.2
End0.6
red by 0.6
6.68.1
2.610.7
Auto3.7
Teleop2.6
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed34%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed