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Red59
418321.7
635216.3
Blue54
641328.4
6014.7
116510.1
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4261020801001201405954

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.71.2
21.322.6
Auto7.8
Teleop13.4
End0.5
blue by 6.6
28.40.2
27.327.1
Auto7.1
Teleop20.7
End0.6
Second
16.31.2
14.215.4
Auto5.0
Teleop9.5
End1.9
red by 1.6
60
#15
14.70.2
14.914.7
Auto3.3
Teleop9.1
End2.4
Third
5.11.2
4.96.1
Auto2.8
Teleop2.0
End0.3
blue by 5.0
1165
#12
10.10.2
10.610.4
Auto4.0
Teleop5.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
65%Melody oddsEarned48%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed