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Red4
943217.5
Blue41
41468.3
498B9.1
247812.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41270206080100120140441

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9432
#20
17.52.2
21.319.1
Auto7.3
Teleop9.8
End0.5
red by 5.0
2478
#11
12.50.5
11.512.1
Auto4.2
Teleop7.4
End0.8
Second
3.63.7
8.64.9
Auto0.9
Teleop2.6
End0.0
blue by 5.6
9.10.9
6.87.7
Auto3.5
Teleop4.6
End1.1
Third
3.62.2
5.12.9
Auto2.4
Teleop0.2
End1.0
blue by 4.7
4146
#14
8.30.5
7.68.1
Auto1.9
Teleop4.6
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed