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Red50
2486B18.3
Blue34
775513.2
77034.5
88489.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25350501001502002503005034

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.31.8
16.818.6
Auto9.3
Teleop7.8
End1.3
red by 5.1
13.20.2
12.812.6
Auto4.6
Teleop6.4
End2.2
Second
3.21.1
2.33.4
Auto2.9
Teleop-0.4
End0.8
blue by 6.6
8848
#22
9.80.2
12.812.6
Auto4.3
Teleop4.0
End1.5
Third
2.61.8
4.56.3
Auto2.0
Teleop-0.2
End0.9
blue by 1.8
7703
#10
4.50.2
4.24.0
Auto2.9
Teleop0.8
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed