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Red47
90598.2
2486B19.2
Blue6
97048.3
45658.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions362006080100476

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.20.4
18.318.7
Auto11.2
Teleop7.2
End0.8
red by 10.5
4565
#23
8.80.9
8.07.0
Auto2.2
Teleop5.2
End1.4
Second
9059
#16
8.20.4
7.68.0
Auto3.7
Teleop3.5
End1.0
blue by 0.1
9704
#24
8.30.9
9.38.3
Auto4.1
Teleop3.9
End0.3
Third
5.50.7
4.95.6
Auto2.0
Teleop3.3
End0.2
red by 4.0
1.51.1
2.81.6
Auto1.2
Teleop0.1
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed2%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed3%Ensemble oddsMissed