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Red36
240325.6
498B6.5
Blue66
301912.3
9916.9
116517.8
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45401020305060703666

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.60.3
26.626.3
Auto7.3
Teleop17.7
End0.6
red by 7.8
17.80.4
15.615.2
Auto8.2
Teleop8.7
End0.8
Second
498B
#19
6.50.3
6.25.9
Auto3.3
Teleop2.9
End0.2
blue by 5.8
12.30.4
13.913.6
Auto4.7
Teleop6.7
End0.8
Third
6.00.4
7.36.8
Auto2.3
Teleop2.9
End0.9
blue by 0.8
991
#21
6.90.4
7.16.7
Auto4.0
Teleop1.9
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
3%Ensemble oddsMissed3%Ensemble oddsMissed