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Red21
9916.9
498B6.5
28402.6
Blue34
237510.6
6016.3
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16310102040506070802134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
991
#21
6.90.2
6.76.9
Auto4.0
Teleop1.9
End1.0
blue by 9.5
60
#6
16.30.2
16.116.3
Auto4.4
Teleop9.6
End2.3
Second
498B
#19
6.50.2
5.96.1
Auto3.3
Teleop2.9
End0.2
blue by 4.1
10.60.2
8.38.5
Auto6.3
Teleop4.0
End0.2
Third
2840
#36
2.60.2
3.63.8
Auto0.8
Teleop0.4
End1.3
red by 1.1
1.50.2
1.61.9
Auto1.2
Teleop0.1
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
4%Melody oddsMissed5%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed