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Red40
248623.0
Blue39
116517.8
775513.8
90598.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions344201001502002504039

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.00.5
22.022.5
Auto7.8
Teleop14.3
End0.9
red by 5.2
17.80.2
15.215.4
Auto8.2
Teleop8.7
End0.8
Second
5.50.9
5.66.5
Auto2.0
Teleop3.3
End0.2
blue by 8.3
7755
#26
13.80.2
13.413.6
Auto4.5
Teleop6.8
End2.5
Third
4.00.5
4.55.0
Auto2.2
Teleop1.5
End0.4
blue by 4.2
9059
#16
8.20.2
8.08.2
Auto3.7
Teleop3.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed