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Red18
49817.3
97048.3
Blue49
647914.1
39449.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3731010205060701849

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
498
#29
17.31.0
19.018.0
Auto6.2
Teleop10.9
End0.2
red by 3.2
14.10.7
12.012.7
Auto2.9
Teleop10.5
End0.8
Second
9704
#24
8.31.0
8.37.3
Auto4.1
Teleop3.9
End0.3
blue by 1.5
3944
#31
9.80.7
9.510.2
Auto4.9
Teleop3.4
End1.5
Third
4.11.6
5.53.9
Auto2.9
Teleop0.8
End0.3
blue by 4.0
8.10.7
7.07.7
Auto4.5
Teleop2.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
3%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed