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Red59
418322.6
7755B-0.4
Blue61
943217.3
247811.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34331020304050605961

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.60.1
22.923.0
Auto8.5
Teleop13.5
End0.7
red by 5.4
17.31.3
14.816.1
Auto5.1
Teleop11.4
End0.8
Second
6.00.2
6.87.1
Auto2.3
Teleop2.9
End0.9
blue by 5.9
2478
#18
11.91.3
9.610.9
Auto5.3
Teleop6.0
End0.6
Third
-0.40.1
0.30.4
Auto1.4
Teleop-2.2
End0.5
blue by 8.9
8.52.2
7.09.2
Auto2.7
Teleop5.2
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed