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Red27
247812.6
77038.4
Blue37
775512.0
26627.4
385319.0
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions204604060801002737

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2478
#24
12.60.4
10.510.9
Auto4.8
Teleop7.0
End0.8
blue by 6.4
19.00.1
18.818.7
Auto6.2
Teleop11.8
End1.0
Second
7703
#19
8.40.4
7.78.1
Auto3.9
Teleop3.7
End0.8
blue by 3.6
7755
#11
12.00.1
12.011.9
Auto3.4
Teleop6.3
End2.4
Third
4.30.5
3.03.5
Auto0.3
Teleop3.5
End0.5
blue by 3.1
2662
#28
7.40.1
7.97.8
Auto3.2
Teleop3.1
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed