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Red44
9918.4
116515.3
Blue43
240327.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33332025303540454443

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.30.6
15.616.2
Auto6.1
Teleop8.2
End1.0
blue by 12.5
27.80.2
24.724.9
Auto7.3
Teleop20.0
End0.5
Second
991
#10
8.40.6
7.78.3
Auto4.7
Teleop2.7
End1.0
red by 4.9
3.40.2
2.62.8
Auto3.0
Teleop-0.4
End0.8
Third
8.00.8
6.87.6
Auto4.9
Teleop2.5
End0.6
red by 5.4
2.60.2
2.22.4
Auto1.6
Teleop0.1
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
3%Ensemble oddsMissed2%Ensemble oddsMissed