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Red44
90599.7
49821.5
Blue38
2486B19.2
970411.4
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions274101020506070804438

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
498
#1
21.51.2
18.920.1
Auto6.5
Teleop14.5
End0.5
red by 2.3
19.20.2
19.019.2
Auto12.6
Teleop5.7
End0.8
Second
9.71.2
6.37.4
Auto3.1
Teleop5.5
End1.1
blue by 1.7
11.40.2
9.39.5
Auto5.7
Teleop5.3
End0.3
Third
5.01.2
0.92.1
Auto3.5
Teleop0.9
End0.6
blue by 3.9
8.90.2
6.97.2
Auto4.1
Teleop3.8
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed3%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed2%Ensemble oddsMissed