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Red71
943227.7
635218.4
248624.5
Blue76
49823.7
641329.4
394415.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81740501001502007176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.70.0
28.328.3
Auto9.8
Teleop16.9
End0.9
blue by 1.8
29.40.0
29.129.0
Auto7.9
Teleop20.2
End1.3
Second
24.50.0
25.125.1
Auto9.6
Teleop14.0
End0.8
red by 0.7
498
#15
23.70.0
23.423.4
Auto4.7
Teleop18.2
End0.8
Third
6352
#10
18.40.0
19.019.0
Auto6.4
Teleop10.5
End1.4
red by 2.7
3944
#12
15.70.0
15.315.3
Auto6.6
Teleop7.2
End1.9