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Red83
394415.7
641329.4
49823.7
Blue76
414612.7
240327.9
247818.4
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7762020401001201408376

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.40.1
29.229.1
Auto7.9
Teleop20.2
End1.3
red by 1.5
27.90.4
27.527.9
Auto7.3
Teleop20.1
End0.6
Second
498
#15
23.70.1
23.523.4
Auto4.7
Teleop18.2
End0.8
red by 5.3
18.40.4
18.018.4
Auto6.9
Teleop10.6
End0.9
Third
3944
#12
15.70.1
15.415.3
Auto6.6
Teleop7.2
End1.9
red by 3.0
4146
#18
12.70.4
12.312.7
Auto2.5
Teleop9.7
End0.4