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Red52
394415.7
90915.4
414612.7
Blue101
641329.4
247818.4
248624.5
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions228305010015052101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3944
#12
15.71.3
14.115.4
Auto6.6
Teleop7.2
End1.9
blue by 13.7
29.41.2
24.425.6
Auto7.9
Teleop20.2
End1.3
Second
4146
#18
12.71.3
7.99.2
Auto2.5
Teleop9.7
End0.4
blue by 11.8
24.51.2
26.427.6
Auto9.6
Teleop14.0
End0.8
Third
9091
#13
5.41.3
5.26.5
Auto1.0
Teleop3.4
End1.0
blue by 13.0
18.41.2
17.318.5
Auto6.9
Teleop10.6
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
4%Melody oddsEarned72%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsEarned