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Red21
116516.5
69810.2
770311.3
Blue62
385324.0
635218.4
80876.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4455020801001201401602162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1165
#19
16.51.3
17.316.0
Auto4.8
Teleop10.7
End0.9
blue by 7.5
24.00.9
23.124.0
Auto6.7
Teleop16.6
End0.7
Second
7703
#14
11.31.3
11.610.3
Auto4.1
Teleop6.5
End0.7
blue by 7.1
6352
#10
18.40.9
16.617.5
Auto6.4
Teleop10.5
End1.4
Third
698
#16
10.21.3
11.910.6
Auto4.6
Teleop3.6
End2.0
red by 3.8
8087
#20
6.40.9
8.79.6
Auto2.0
Teleop2.9
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
34%Melody oddsMissed49%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed