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Red55
770311.3
943227.7
394415.7
Blue73
647917.3
635218.4
641329.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions557301001502005573

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.70.1
26.426.5
Auto9.8
Teleop16.9
End0.9
blue by 1.8
29.40.6
25.626.2
Auto7.9
Teleop20.2
End1.3
Second
3944
#12
15.70.1
15.415.5
Auto6.6
Teleop7.2
End1.9
blue by 2.7
6352
#10
18.40.6
17.518.1
Auto6.4
Teleop10.5
End1.4
Third
7703
#14
11.30.1
10.310.3
Auto4.1
Teleop6.5
End0.7
blue by 6.0
17.30.6
20.821.4
Auto3.9
Teleop12.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
43%Melody oddsEarned75%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
3%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed