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Red47
49823.7
414612.7
69810.2
Blue76
247818.4
240327.9
385324.0
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4183020601001201401604776

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
498
#15
23.70.3
22.022.3
Auto4.7
Teleop18.2
End0.8
blue by 4.2
27.90.1
27.727.8
Auto7.3
Teleop20.1
End0.6
Second
4146
#18
12.70.3
9.29.6
Auto2.5
Teleop9.7
End0.4
blue by 11.3
24.00.1
24.024.0
Auto6.7
Teleop16.6
End0.7
Third
698
#16
10.20.3
10.611.0
Auto4.6
Teleop3.6
End2.0
blue by 8.3
18.40.1
18.518.5
Auto6.9
Teleop10.6
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
32%Melody oddsMissed87%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
2%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed