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Red76
943227.7
248624.5
90915.4
Blue66
905916.1
970414.6
116516.5
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70490204060801001201407666

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.70.7
26.527.2
Auto9.8
Teleop16.9
End0.9
red by 11.2
1165
#19
16.51.0
16.017.0
Auto4.8
Teleop10.7
End0.9
Second
24.50.7
27.628.3
Auto9.6
Teleop14.0
End0.8
red by 8.3
9059
#11
16.11.0
15.616.6
Auto4.1
Teleop10.8
End1.2
Third
9091
#13
5.40.7
6.57.2
Auto1.0
Teleop3.4
End1.0
blue by 9.2
14.61.0
15.116.0
Auto7.4
Teleop7.0
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
72%Melody oddsEarned19%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed