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Red51
116516.5
385324.0
414612.7
Blue80
943227.7
77559.4
247818.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48484550556065755180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.00.2
20.420.6
Auto6.7
Teleop16.6
End0.7
blue by 3.7
27.72.4
19.321.7
Auto9.8
Teleop16.9
End0.9
Second
1165
#19
16.50.2
14.014.2
Auto4.8
Teleop10.7
End0.9
blue by 1.9
18.42.4
12.214.6
Auto6.9
Teleop10.6
End0.9
Third
4146
#18
12.70.2
8.99.1
Auto2.5
Teleop9.7
End0.4
red by 3.2
7755
#17
9.42.4
12.014.4
Auto2.5
Teleop4.7
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsEarned14%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
3%Ensemble oddsMissed3%Ensemble oddsMissed