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Red70
6016.6
240327.9
647917.3
Blue60
905916.1
394415.7
635218.4
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7339020601001201401607060

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.90.5
26.425.9
Auto7.3
Teleop20.1
End0.6
red by 9.6
6352
#10
18.41.1
14.015.0
Auto6.4
Teleop10.5
End1.4
Second
6479
#9Sur
17.30.5
18.417.9
Auto3.9
Teleop12.5
End0.9
red by 1.2
9059
#11Sur
16.11.1
12.213.2
Auto4.1
Teleop10.8
End1.2
Third
60
#6
16.60.5
17.417.0
Auto6.1
Teleop8.6
End1.9
red by 0.9
3944
#12
15.71.1
13.014.0
Auto6.6
Teleop7.2
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
63%Melody oddsEarned11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed