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Red69
116516.5
770311.3
248624.5
Blue62
49823.7
943227.7
80876.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53572040801006962

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.50.7
26.327.0
Auto9.6
Teleop14.0
End0.8
blue by 3.2
27.70.6
21.722.4
Auto9.8
Teleop16.9
End0.9
Second
1165
#19Sur
16.50.7
14.214.9
Auto4.8
Teleop10.7
End0.9
blue by 7.2
498
#15Sur
23.70.6
19.520.1
Auto4.7
Teleop18.2
End0.8
Third
7703
#14
11.30.7
8.08.7
Auto4.1
Teleop6.5
End0.7
red by 4.9
8087
#20
6.40.6
9.510.1
Auto2.0
Teleop2.9
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
33%Melody oddsEarned46%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
3%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed