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Red21
61273.7
247810.9
635216.9
Blue39
28404.9
97779.5
641316.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions372602060802139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6352
#17
16.91.5
14.012.5
Auto5.1
Teleop9.7
End2.0
red by 0.1
6413
#14
16.81.6
12.013.6
Auto6.4
Teleop9.8
End0.6
Second
2478
#33
10.91.5
10.08.5
Auto4.2
Teleop5.5
End1.2
red by 1.4
9777
#26
9.51.6
7.38.9
Auto2.7
Teleop4.8
End2.0
Third
6127
#39Sur
3.71.5
8.57.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop3.1
End0.9
blue by 1.2
2840
#37Sur
4.91.6
5.57.1
Auto1.7
Teleop1.7
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed