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Red50
50599.7
315821.3
950115.5
Blue34
76459.9
68334.4
80127.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions372701001502002503005034

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3158
#13
21.30.4
16.516.9
Auto7.4
Teleop12.8
End1.1
red by 11.4
7645
#40
9.90.3
9.910.2
Auto2.9
Teleop6.4
End0.6
Second
9501
#23Sur
15.50.6
8.49.0
Auto6.1
Teleop7.7
End1.6
red by 7.5
8012
#25
7.90.3
7.07.4
Auto2.7
Teleop5.0
End0.2
Third
5059
#24
9.70.6
7.58.1
Auto5.2
Teleop3.9
End0.5
red by 5.3
6833
#41
4.40.3
9.09.3
Auto2.5
Teleop0.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsEarned9%Ensemble oddsMissed