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Red41
54307.5
603632.9
690722.2
Blue17
76459.9
69813.0
950115.5
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions613002040801004117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.91.1
32.231.1
Auto10.1
Teleop21.6
End1.2
red by 17.5
9501
#23
15.510.7
18.37.6
Auto6.1
Teleop7.7
End1.6
Second
22.21.4
10.38.9
Auto7.9
Teleop14.2
End0.1
red by 9.2
698
#28
13.01.5
10.18.6
Auto4.5
Teleop6.4
End2.1
Third
5430
#31
7.51.4
9.17.7
Auto3.0
Teleop3.4
End1.2
blue by 2.4
7645
#40
9.91.5
11.49.9
Auto2.9
Teleop6.4
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
54%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed