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Red13
9918.5
609.8
247810.9
Blue29
364816.9
50258.5
385310.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41351020305060701329

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2478
#33
10.92.6
12.09.5
Auto4.2
Teleop5.5
End1.2
blue by 6.0
3648
#15
16.90.3
11.911.5
Auto4.7
Teleop10.6
End1.6
Second
60
#30
9.82.6
12.610.0
Auto3.0
Teleop5.1
End1.7
blue by 0.9
3853
#20
10.80.3
10.19.7
Auto3.5
Teleop4.5
End2.8
Third
991
#29
8.52.6
11.69.0
Auto4.4
Teleop3.1
End1.0
Level
5025
#38
8.50.3
10.19.8
Auto5.8
Teleop2.1
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed