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Red53
943221.7
61273.7
69625.5
Blue28
68334.4
97779.5
315821.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424420305060705328

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
696
#11
25.50.5
21.722.2
Auto6.9
Teleop17.8
End0.8
red by 4.2
3158
#13
21.30.7
17.216.5
Auto7.4
Teleop12.8
End1.1
Second
21.716.6
26.710.1
Auto6.3
Teleop13.9
End1.5
red by 12.2
9777
#26
9.57.9
16.08.1
Auto2.7
Teleop4.8
End2.0
Third
6127
#39
3.70.9
9.09.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop3.1
End0.9
blue by 0.7
6833
#41
4.41.1
11.110.1
Auto2.5
Teleop0.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed