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Red48
116512.3
330919.9
943221.7
Blue44
970411.4
905910.9
441519.7
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions283802060804844

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.72.4
10.112.5
Auto6.3
Teleop13.9
End1.5
red by 2.0
4415
#12
19.70.5
18.318.8
Auto8.0
Teleop11.2
End0.5
Second
19.91.5
12.714.1
Auto6.0
Teleop12.6
End1.2
red by 8.5
9704
#34
11.40.7
7.68.3
Auto3.0
Teleop7.7
End0.7
Third
12.31.8
3.45.2
Auto2.8
Teleop8.6
End0.8
red by 1.4
9059
#21
10.90.7
7.07.7
Auto2.9
Teleop6.4
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsEarned24%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed