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Red50
312828.3
80127.9
315821.3
Blue47
385310.8
265920.8
28404.9
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5536020801001201405047

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.30.1
22.922.9
Auto10.6
Teleop16.3
End1.4
red by 7.5
20.80.2
18.018.2
Auto6.3
Teleop10.9
End3.6
Second
3158
#13
21.30.1
16.916.9
Auto7.4
Teleop12.8
End1.1
red by 10.5
3853
#20
10.80.2
9.810.1
Auto3.5
Teleop4.5
End2.8
Third
8012
#25
7.90.1
7.47.5
Auto2.7
Teleop5.0
End0.2
red by 3.1
2840
#37
4.90.2
7.17.3
Auto1.7
Teleop1.7
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsEarned18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsEarned