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Red33
68334.4
603632.9
364816.9
Blue77
641316.8
635216.9
325628.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions585502040801001203377

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.91.3
29.227.9
Auto10.1
Teleop21.6
End1.2
red by 4.9
28.01.5
24.125.5
Auto11.2
Teleop14.8
End2.0
Second
3648
#15
16.92.1
13.911.7
Auto4.7
Teleop10.6
End1.6
red by 0.1
6352
#17
16.92.4
12.515.0
Auto5.1
Teleop9.7
End2.0
Third
6833
#41
4.42.1
9.37.2
Auto2.5
Teleop0.7
End1.2
blue by 12.4
6413
#14
16.82.4
13.616.0
Auto6.4
Teleop9.8
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
41%Melody oddsMissed29%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsMissed