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Red42
970411.4
28404.9
69625.5
Blue74
312828.3
364816.9
441519.7
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4062020801004274

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
696
#11
25.50.2
24.024.2
Auto6.9
Teleop17.8
End0.8
blue by 2.8
28.30.7
24.024.8
Auto10.6
Teleop16.3
End1.4
Second
9704
#34
11.40.4
6.87.2
Auto3.0
Teleop7.7
End0.7
blue by 8.3
4415
#12
19.70.7
16.617.3
Auto8.0
Teleop11.2
End0.5
Third
2840
#37
4.90.4
7.78.1
Auto1.7
Teleop1.7
End1.5
blue by 12.1
3648
#15
16.91.2
12.413.6
Auto4.7
Teleop10.6
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsEarned