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Red27
50258.5
247810.9
76459.9
Blue60
325628.0
905910.9
116512.3
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26460204060802760

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2478
#33
10.90.4
8.88.4
Auto4.2
Teleop5.5
End1.2
blue by 17.1
28.00.7
25.926.7
Auto11.2
Teleop14.8
End2.0
Second
7645
#40
9.90.4
9.08.6
Auto2.9
Teleop6.4
End0.6
blue by 2.4
12.30.7
4.45.1
Auto2.8
Teleop8.6
End0.8
Third
5025
#38
8.50.4
8.07.6
Auto5.8
Teleop2.1
End0.6
blue by 2.4
9059
#21
10.91.2
8.79.9
Auto2.9
Teleop6.4
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed28%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsEarned