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Red47
68334.4
690722.2
330919.9
Blue41
90917.4
609.8
265920.8
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions415020306070804741

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.20.5
14.915.4
Auto7.9
Teleop14.2
End0.1
red by 1.4
20.82.2
18.616.4
Auto6.3
Teleop10.9
End3.6
Second
19.90.3
15.816.1
Auto6.0
Teleop12.6
End1.2
red by 10.0
60
#30
9.82.2
15.513.3
Auto3.0
Teleop5.1
End1.7
Third
6833
#41
4.40.5
7.27.6
Auto2.5
Teleop0.7
End1.2
blue by 3.0
9091
#19
7.42.2
9.77.5
Auto2.6
Teleop3.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
33%Melody oddsMissed25%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsEarned