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Red71
69625.5
950115.5
641316.8
Blue58
69813.0
265920.8
905910.9
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions633302040801007158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
696
#11
25.51.2
24.225.4
Auto6.9
Teleop17.8
End0.8
red by 4.7
20.82.8
16.419.1
Auto6.3
Teleop10.9
End3.6
Second
6413
#14
16.82.0
15.917.9
Auto6.4
Teleop9.8
End0.6
red by 3.8
698
#28
13.02.8
6.99.6
Auto4.5
Teleop6.4
End2.1
Third
9501
#23
15.52.0
13.015.0
Auto6.1
Teleop7.7
End1.6
red by 4.5
9059
#21
10.92.8
9.912.7
Auto2.9
Teleop6.4
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
34%Melody oddsEarned18%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed32%Ensemble oddsEarned