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Red32
775513.8
30199.0
247810.9
Blue83
80127.9
603632.9
943221.7
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions276202040801003283

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7755
#18
13.80.2
11.411.5
Auto4.5
Teleop7.9
End1.4
blue by 19.2
32.91.3
27.528.8
Auto10.1
Teleop21.6
End1.2
Second
2478
#33
10.90.2
8.48.6
Auto4.2
Teleop5.5
End1.2
blue by 10.8
21.72.1
16.518.6
Auto6.3
Teleop13.9
End1.5
Third
3019
#35
9.00.2
8.99.0
Auto3.3
Teleop4.6
End1.1
red by 1.1
8012
#25
7.92.0
7.89.8
Auto2.7
Teleop5.0
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed47%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsEarned