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Red11
28404.9
41468.4
609.8
Blue61
97779.5
690722.2
50599.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions273501020405060701161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60
#30
9.81.6
11.19.5
Auto3.0
Teleop5.1
End1.7
blue by 12.4
22.23.1
18.121.3
Auto7.9
Teleop14.2
End0.1
Second
4146
#22
8.41.5
6.85.3
Auto4.0
Teleop4.3
End0.1
blue by 1.3
5059
#24
9.73.1
5.78.9
Auto5.2
Teleop3.9
End0.5
Third
2840
#37
4.91.5
7.86.3
Auto1.7
Teleop1.7
End1.5
blue by 4.6
9777
#26
9.53.1
6.810.0
Auto2.7
Teleop4.8
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed