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Red89
325628.0
240317.1
61273.7
Blue55
72149.8
76459.9
49826.3
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5838020801008955

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.00.1
28.328.2
Auto11.2
Teleop14.8
End2.0
red by 1.7
498
#9
26.30.9
20.921.7
Auto4.7
Teleop21.1
End0.5
Second
2403
#16
17.10.1
17.016.9
Auto3.6
Teleop11.9
End1.6
red by 7.2
7645
#40
9.91.4
11.412.8
Auto2.9
Teleop6.4
End0.6
Third
6127
#39
3.70.1
4.84.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop3.1
End0.9
blue by 6.1
7214
#27
9.81.3
4.86.1
Auto3.3
Teleop4.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
34%Melody oddsEarned26%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed