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Red29
26629.0
641316.8
240317.1
Blue59
690722.2
943221.7
385310.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49582040801001202959

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2403
#16
17.12.0
16.914.9
Auto3.6
Teleop11.9
End1.6
blue by 5.1
22.20.8
21.322.0
Auto7.9
Teleop14.2
End0.1
Second
6413
#14
16.82.0
17.615.6
Auto6.4
Teleop9.8
End0.6
blue by 4.9
21.70.8
20.821.6
Auto6.3
Teleop13.9
End1.5
Third
2662
#32
9.02.0
10.58.5
Auto4.7
Teleop4.0
End0.3
blue by 1.8
3853
#20
10.80.8
9.09.8
Auto3.5
Teleop4.5
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
44%Melody oddsMissed55%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed