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Red24
50258.5
61273.7
80127.9
Blue55
690722.2
635216.9
76459.9
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1761040801002455

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5025
#38
8.50.3
8.88.5
Auto5.8
Teleop2.1
End0.6
blue by 13.7
22.20.4
21.921.5
Auto7.9
Teleop14.2
End0.1
Second
8012
#25
7.90.3
8.37.9
Auto2.7
Teleop5.0
End0.2
blue by 8.9
6352
#17
16.90.4
17.517.1
Auto5.1
Teleop9.7
End2.0
Third
6127
#39
3.70.3
3.83.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop3.1
End0.9
blue by 6.2
7645
#40
9.90.4
10.810.4
Auto2.9
Teleop6.4
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed64%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed