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Red76
50599.7
325628.0
265920.8
Blue48
54307.5
656025.9
45655.7
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69412060801007648

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.00.3
27.727.3
Auto11.2
Teleop14.8
End2.0
red by 2.1
6560
#10
25.90.3
26.626.3
Auto9.1
Teleop14.7
End2.1
Second
20.80.4
21.421.0
Auto6.3
Teleop10.9
End3.6
red by 13.4
5430
#31
7.50.3
7.87.5
Auto3.0
Teleop3.4
End1.2
Third
5059
#24
9.70.4
10.19.7
Auto5.2
Teleop3.9
End0.5
red by 4.0
4565
#36
5.70.3
5.85.5
Auto2.3
Teleop1.8
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
60%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
49%Ensemble oddsEarned10%Ensemble oddsMissed