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Red72
41468.4
950115.5
312828.3
Blue27
97779.5
970411.4
247810.9
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions583202040801007227

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.30.2
27.127.3
Auto10.6
Teleop16.3
End1.4
red by 16.9
9704
#34
11.40.4
11.110.6
Auto3.0
Teleop7.7
End0.7
Second
9501
#23
15.50.2
14.014.2
Auto6.1
Teleop7.7
End1.6
red by 4.5
2478
#33
10.90.4
11.410.9
Auto4.2
Teleop5.5
End1.2
Third
4146
#22
8.40.2
8.58.7
Auto4.0
Teleop4.3
End0.1
blue by 1.2
9777
#26
9.50.4
10.09.5
Auto2.7
Teleop4.8
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
52%Melody oddsEarned22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed