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Red84
315821.3
441519.7
330919.9
Blue97
49826.3
116512.3
603632.9
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions617140801001208497

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3158
#13
21.31.2
20.421.6
Auto7.4
Teleop12.8
End1.1
blue by 11.6
32.92.3
29.631.9
Auto10.1
Teleop21.6
End1.2
Second
19.91.2
17.718.9
Auto6.0
Teleop12.6
End1.2
blue by 6.4
498
#9
26.32.3
23.025.3
Auto4.7
Teleop21.1
End0.5
Third
4415
#12
19.71.2
18.419.6
Auto8.0
Teleop11.2
End0.5
red by 7.4
12.32.3
10.512.7
Auto2.8
Teleop8.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
58%Melody oddsEarned89%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsEarned10%Ensemble oddsMissed