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Red34
69813.0
385310.8
68334.4
Blue41
72149.8
9918.5
905910.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2829010204050603441

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
698
#28
13.00.5
11.411.9
Auto4.5
Teleop6.4
End2.1
red by 2.1
9059
#21
10.91.1
9.910.9
Auto2.9
Teleop6.4
End1.6
Second
3853
#20
10.80.5
10.310.8
Auto3.5
Teleop4.5
End2.8
red by 1.0
7214
#27
9.81.1
8.79.8
Auto3.3
Teleop4.5
End2.0
Third
6833
#41
4.40.6
3.84.4
Auto2.5
Teleop0.7
End1.2
blue by 4.1
991
#29
8.51.1
7.58.5
Auto4.4
Teleop3.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed34%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed